The Bay Area's tremendous six-year economic boom is winding down and the region will almost certainly slip into a recession within the next 12 months, according to a widely watched forecast issued ...

A recession has been in the forecast for much of 2023. Yet an economic downturn — formally defined as two consecutive quarters of declining GDP growth — has yet to happen. "A recession is obviously ...

There are plenty of small negatives which do not add up to a recession. The recession risk comes from the continued back-and-forth from the White House about what tariffs will be. If summer turns to ...

Torsten Sløk has said the risk of stagflation still hangs over the US economy. The Apollo chief economist pointed to lower growth and higher inflation expectations due to tariffs. The top economist ...